Water availability in South America presents a considerable uncertainty across several time scales. This notion is a serious problem for various applications, such as agriculture and hydroelectric energy. Multi-decadal regional climate model projections are assimilated into a linear statistical model in order to produce an ensemble of downscaled riverflows in the La Plata Basin and in southern-central Chile. The statistical model uses atmospheric circulation fields (geopotential heights at the 200 hPa level) as predictors in a perfect prognosis approach.
Reference:
Landman, W, Diaz, A, Montecinos, A and Engelbrecht, F. 2014. Climate change estimates of South American riverflow through statistical downscaling. In: WCRP conference for Latin America and Caribbean: developing, linking and applying climate knowledge, Montevideo, Uruguay 17-21 March 2014
Landman, W., Diaz, A., Montecinos, A., & Engelbrecht, F. (2014). Climate change estimates of South American riverflow through statistical downscaling. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/7458
Landman, W, A Diaz, A Montecinos, and F Engelbrecht. "Climate change estimates of South American riverflow through statistical downscaling." (2014): http://hdl.handle.net/10204/7458
Landman W, Diaz A, Montecinos A, Engelbrecht F, Climate change estimates of South American riverflow through statistical downscaling; 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/7458 .
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